The politics of modelling : numbers between science and policy /
The politics of modelling : numbers between science and policy /
edited by Andrea Saltelli, Monica Di Fiore.
- 1 online resource (273 pages) : illustrations, charts
Includes bibliographical references and index.
Foreword: Mathematically modelling as a critical cultural enterprise / Preface: The sciences of modelling through / Introduction / Pay no attention to the model behind the curtain / Mind the framing: Match purpose and context / Mind the hubris: Complexity can misfire / Mind the assumptions: Quantify uncertainty and assess sensitivity / Mind the consequences: Quantification in economic and public policy / Mind the unknowns: Exploring the politics of ignorance in mathematical models / Sensitivity auditing: A practical checklist for auditing decision-relevant models / Mathematical modelling: Lessons from composite indicators / Mathematical modelling, rulemaking, and the COVID-19 pandemic / In the twilight of probability: COVID-19 and the dilemma of the decision-maker / Models as metaphors / Epilogue: Those special models: A political economy of mathematical modelling / Wendy Espeland -- Dan Sarewitz -- Monica Di Fiore and Andrea Saltelli -- Philip Stark -- Monica Di Fiore, Marta Kuc-Czarnecka, Samuele Lo Piano, Arnald Puy, and Andrea Saltelli -- Arnald Puy and Andrea Saltelli -- Emanuele Borgonovo -- Wolfgang Drechsler and Lukas Fuchs -- Andy Stirling -- Samuele Lo Piano, Razi Sheikholeslami, Arnald Puy, and Andrea Saltelli -- Marta Kuc-Czarnecka and Andrea Saltelli -- Ting Xu -- Paolo Vineis and Luca Savarino -- Jerome R. Ravetz -- Andrea Saltelli and Monica Di Fiore.
"Climate change and COVID-19 have brought mathematical models into the forefront of politics and decision-making, where they are now being used to justify momentous and often controversial decisions. Such models are technically very complex, and sources of political authority. Yet disagreement among experts fuels a growing uneasiness about the quality and significance of the numbers that models produce. This multidisciplinary volume takes a critical look at the intersections of the technical and the political aspects of models. Our goal is to help unravel the meanings and implications of models in the real world, for readers that include decision makers, policy analysts, journalists, scholars … and even modellers"--Publisher's description.
0198872429 9780198872429 9780191983597 0191983594
--Social aspects.
QA401 / .P545 2023
Includes bibliographical references and index.
Foreword: Mathematically modelling as a critical cultural enterprise / Preface: The sciences of modelling through / Introduction / Pay no attention to the model behind the curtain / Mind the framing: Match purpose and context / Mind the hubris: Complexity can misfire / Mind the assumptions: Quantify uncertainty and assess sensitivity / Mind the consequences: Quantification in economic and public policy / Mind the unknowns: Exploring the politics of ignorance in mathematical models / Sensitivity auditing: A practical checklist for auditing decision-relevant models / Mathematical modelling: Lessons from composite indicators / Mathematical modelling, rulemaking, and the COVID-19 pandemic / In the twilight of probability: COVID-19 and the dilemma of the decision-maker / Models as metaphors / Epilogue: Those special models: A political economy of mathematical modelling / Wendy Espeland -- Dan Sarewitz -- Monica Di Fiore and Andrea Saltelli -- Philip Stark -- Monica Di Fiore, Marta Kuc-Czarnecka, Samuele Lo Piano, Arnald Puy, and Andrea Saltelli -- Arnald Puy and Andrea Saltelli -- Emanuele Borgonovo -- Wolfgang Drechsler and Lukas Fuchs -- Andy Stirling -- Samuele Lo Piano, Razi Sheikholeslami, Arnald Puy, and Andrea Saltelli -- Marta Kuc-Czarnecka and Andrea Saltelli -- Ting Xu -- Paolo Vineis and Luca Savarino -- Jerome R. Ravetz -- Andrea Saltelli and Monica Di Fiore.
"Climate change and COVID-19 have brought mathematical models into the forefront of politics and decision-making, where they are now being used to justify momentous and often controversial decisions. Such models are technically very complex, and sources of political authority. Yet disagreement among experts fuels a growing uneasiness about the quality and significance of the numbers that models produce. This multidisciplinary volume takes a critical look at the intersections of the technical and the political aspects of models. Our goal is to help unravel the meanings and implications of models in the real world, for readers that include decision makers, policy analysts, journalists, scholars … and even modellers"--Publisher's description.
0198872429 9780198872429 9780191983597 0191983594
--Social aspects.
QA401 / .P545 2023