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Probabilistic Forecasts and Optimal Decisions (Record no. 67058)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 03251nam a22003854u 4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field 10.1002/9781394319060
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field Wiley
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20251030120310.0
007 - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION FIXED FIELD--GENERAL INFORMATION
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008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
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020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
International Standard Book Number 9781394319060
Qualifying information electronic
024 7# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER
Standard number or code 10.1002/9781394319060
Source of number or code doi
041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE
Language code of text/sound track or separate title eng
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Krzysztofowicz, Roman
Relator code aut
9 (RLIN) 91722
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Probabilistic Forecasts and Optimal Decisions
Medium [electronic resource]
Statement of responsibility, etc. Roman Krzysztofowicz
250 ## - EDITION STATEMENT
Edition statement 1
260 ## - Date publicare
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Wiley
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2024
264 #1 - PRODUCTION, PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, MANUFACTURE, AND COPYRIGHT NOTICE
Name of producer, publisher, distributor, manufacturer Wiley
Date of production, publication, distribution, manufacture, or copyright notice 2024
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 576pp.;
336 ## - CONTENT TYPE
Content type term text
Content type code txt
Source rdacontent
337 ## - MEDIA TYPE
Media type term computer
Media type code c
Source rdamedia
338 ## - CARRIER TYPE
Carrier type term online resource
Carrier type code cr
Source rdacarrier
347 ## - DIGITAL FILE CHARACTERISTICS
File type text file
Source rdaft
347 ## - DIGITAL FILE CHARACTERISTICS
Encoding format PDF
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. Account for uncertainties and optimize decision-making with this thorough exposition Decision theory is a body of thought and research seeking to apply a mathematical-logical framework to assessing probability and optimizing decision-making. It has developed robust tools for addressing all major challenges to decision making. Yet the number of variables and uncertainties affecting each decision outcome, many of them beyond the decider's control, mean that decision-making is far from a 'solved problem'. The tools created by decision theory remain to be refined and applied to decisions in which uncertainties are prominent. Probabilistic Forecasts and Optimal Decisions introduces a theoretically-grounded methodology for optimizing decision-making under conditions of uncertainty. Beginning with an overview of the basic elements of probability theory and methods for modeling continuous variates, it proceeds to survey the mathematics of both continuous and discrete models, supporting each with key examples. The result is a crucial window into the complex but enormously rewarding world of decision theory. Readers of Probablistic Forecasts and Optimal Decisions will also find: Extended case studies supported with real-world data Mini-projects running through multiple chapters to illustrate different stages of the decision-making process End of chapter exercises designed to facilitate student learning Probabilistic Forecasts and Optimal Decisions is ideal for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in the sciences and engineering, as well as predictive analytics and decision analytics professionals.
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element
9 (RLIN) 91588
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element
9 (RLIN) 91554
653 00 - INDEX TERM--UNCONTROLLED
Uncontrolled term Probabilistic reasoning; statistical estimation; judgmental assessment; rational decision-making; discrete modeling; continuous modeling; decision theory; mathematical-logical analysis; uncertainty; discrete-event systems; decision analysis
776 08 - ADDITIONAL PHYSICAL FORM ENTRY
Relationship information Printed edition:
International Standard Book Number 9781394221868
856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="https://doi.org/10.1002/9781394319060">https://doi.org/10.1002/9781394319060</a>
Host name Wiley Online Library
856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/action/showBook?doi=10.1002%2F9781394319060">https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/action/showBook?doi=10.1002%2F9781394319060</a>
Host name Wiley Online Library
856 42 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Materials specified Cover Image
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/cms/asset/15d0384b-ed29-4678-b573-89a4378d62b4/9781394319060.cover.gif">https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/cms/asset/15d0384b-ed29-4678-b573-89a4378d62b4/9781394319060.cover.gif</a>
Host name Wiley Online Library

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