Clear Thinking
Structured Analytic Techniques and Strategic Foresight Analysis for Decisionmakers
Pherson, Randolph H.
creator
author.
aut
http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut
Donner, Ole.
author.
aut
http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut
Gnad, Oliver.
author.
aut
http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut
SpringerLink (Online service)
text
sz
2024
1st ed. 2024.
monographic
eng
access
XIX, 243 p. 132 illus., 36 illus. in color. online resource.
This book enables analysts in government and the private sector as well as policy advisors and decision makers to assess global risks and opportunities systematically, make well-founded and informed decisions, and anticipate the unanticipated. The authors illuminate the basics of intuitive and analytical thinking and how structured techniques can mitigate the impact of cognitive biases, misapplied heuristics, and intuitive traps. Three case studies illustrate how to apply over 30 Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) with step-by-step instructions. The final chapter focuses on how to optimize the impact of your analytic product, be it a paper, briefing, or digital display.
Chapter 1. Setting the Stage -- Chapter 2. Understanding How We Think: System I and System 2 -- Chapter 3. Conceptualizing Your Topic -- Chapter 4. Blackout In Berlin! -- Chapter 5. Terror in Stockholm -- Chapter 6. Conflict or Cooperation in the Arctic? -- Chapter 7. Optimizing the Impact of Your Product -- Chapter 8. Outlook.
by Randolph H. Pherson, Ole Donner, Oliver Gnad.
Security, International
Political science
Cognitive psychology
Political leadership
World politics
International Security Studies
Governance and Government
Cognitive Psychology
Political Leadership
Political History
JZ5587-6009
Springer Nature eBook
Professional Practice in Governance and Public Organizations
9783031487668
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-48766-8
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-48766-8
240228
20251030111449.0
978-3-031-48766-8