TY  - BOOK
AU  - Pherson,Randolph H.
AU  - Donner,Ole
AU  - Gnad,Oliver
ED  - SpringerLink (Online service)
TI  - Clear Thinking: Structured Analytic Techniques and Strategic Foresight Analysis for Decisionmakers 
T2  - Professional Practice in Governance and Public Organizations,
SN  - 9783031487668
AV  - JZ5587-6009 
PY  - 2024///
CY  - Cham
PB  - Springer Nature Switzerland, Imprint: Springer
KW  - Security, International
KW  - Political science
KW  - Cognitive psychology
KW  - Political leadership
KW  - World politics
KW  - International Security Studies
KW  - Governance and Government
KW  - Cognitive Psychology
KW  - Political Leadership
KW  - Political History
N1  - Chapter 1. Setting the Stage -- Chapter 2. Understanding How We Think: System I and System 2 -- Chapter 3. Conceptualizing Your Topic -- Chapter 4. Blackout In Berlin! -- Chapter 5. Terror in Stockholm -- Chapter 6. Conflict or Cooperation in the Arctic? -- Chapter 7. Optimizing the Impact of Your Product -- Chapter 8. Outlook
N2  - This book enables analysts in government and the private sector as well as policy advisors and decision makers to assess global risks and opportunities systematically, make well-founded and informed decisions, and anticipate the unanticipated. The authors illuminate the basics of intuitive and analytical thinking and how structured techniques can mitigate the impact of cognitive biases, misapplied heuristics, and intuitive traps. Three case studies illustrate how to apply over 30 Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) with step-by-step instructions. The final chapter focuses on how to optimize the impact of your analytic product, be it a paper, briefing, or digital display
UR  - https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-48766-8
ER  -