The failure of risk management [online] : why it's broken and how to fix it / Douglas W. Hubbard

Index

Include referințe bibliografice.

PART ONE : An Introduction to the Crisis Healthy Skepticism for Risk Management A Summary of the Current State of Risk Management How Do We Know What Works? Getting Started: A Simple Straw Man Quantitative Model

PART TWO : Why It's Broken The “Four Horsemen” of Risk Management: Some (Mostly) Sincere Attempts to Prevent an Apocalypse An Ivory Tower of Babel: Fixing the Confusion about Risk The Limits of Expert Knowledge: Why We Don't Know What We Think We Know about Uncertainty Worse Than Useless: The Most Popular Risk Assessment Method and Why It Doesn't Work Bears, Swans and Other Obstacles to Improved Risk Management Where Even the Quants Go Wrong: Common and Fundamental Errors in Quantitative Models

PART THREE : How to Fix It Starting with What Works Improving the Model The Risk Community: Intra‐ and Extra‐organizational Issues of Risk Management Additional Calibration Tests and Answers

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