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020 _a9783031487668
_9978-3-031-48766-8
024 7 _a10.1007/978-3-031-48766-8
_2doi
050 4 _aJZ5587-6009
072 7 _aJPS
_2bicssc
072 7 _aPOL012000
_2bisacsh
072 7 _aJPS
_2thema
100 1 _aPherson, Randolph H.
_eauthor.
_4aut
_4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut
_971937
245 1 0 _aClear Thinking
_h[electronic resource] :
_bStructured Analytic Techniques and Strategic Foresight Analysis for Decisionmakers /
_cby Randolph H. Pherson, Ole Donner, Oliver Gnad.
250 _a1st ed. 2024.
264 1 _aCham :
_bSpringer Nature Switzerland :
_bImprint: Springer,
_c2024.
300 _aXIX, 243 p. 132 illus., 36 illus. in color.
_bonline resource.
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
347 _atext file
_bPDF
_2rda
490 1 _aProfessional Practice in Governance and Public Organizations,
_x2731-9784
505 0 _aChapter 1. Setting the Stage -- Chapter 2. Understanding How We Think: System I and System 2 -- Chapter 3. Conceptualizing Your Topic -- Chapter 4. Blackout In Berlin! -- Chapter 5. Terror in Stockholm -- Chapter 6. Conflict or Cooperation in the Arctic? -- Chapter 7. Optimizing the Impact of Your Product -- Chapter 8. Outlook.
520 _aThis book enables analysts in government and the private sector as well as policy advisors and decision makers to assess global risks and opportunities systematically, make well-founded and informed decisions, and anticipate the unanticipated. The authors illuminate the basics of intuitive and analytical thinking and how structured techniques can mitigate the impact of cognitive biases, misapplied heuristics, and intuitive traps. Three case studies illustrate how to apply over 30 Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) with step-by-step instructions. The final chapter focuses on how to optimize the impact of your analytic product, be it a paper, briefing, or digital display.
650 0 _aSecurity, International.
_958210
650 0 _aPolitical science.
_958714
650 0 _aCognitive psychology.
650 0 _aPolitical leadership.
650 0 _aWorld politics.
_958105
650 1 4 _aInternational Security Studies.
_969560
650 2 4 _aGovernance and Government.
650 2 4 _aCognitive Psychology.
650 2 4 _aPolitical Leadership.
650 2 4 _aPolitical History.
_967817
700 1 _aDonner, Ole.
_eauthor.
_4aut
_4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut
_971938
700 1 _aGnad, Oliver.
_eauthor.
_4aut
_4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut
_971939
710 2 _aSpringerLink (Online service)
773 0 _tSpringer Nature eBook
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9783031487651
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9783031487675
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9783031487682
830 0 _aProfessional Practice in Governance and Public Organizations,
_x2731-9784
_971940
856 4 0 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-48766-8
912 _aZDB-2-BSP
912 _aZDB-2-SXBP
999 _c57950
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